Category Archives: Germany

In the long run the Euro will survive, in the short term it remains on life support

The trouble with the Euro Zone is that the plan is a long term restructuring program with very few measures to help ease the pain in the short term. But as we all know, “We’re all dead in the long … Continue reading

Posted in Austerity, ECB, Euro Zone, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Spain | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

The UK’s Top Export Markets

The UK’s top export markets are dominated by both US and European countries as would be expected. The US is the UK’s biggest export market in terms of individual countries so any improvement in the US economy should be beneficial … Continue reading

Posted in Asia, Austerity, China, Euro Zone, France, Germany, Holland, Ireland, Italy, Spain, UK, US | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

UK Veto Is A Smokescreen For Much Greater EZ Failures

The headlines in the aftermath of last week’s EU summit have largely been focused on the UK veto but surely the more important issue is what Germany is unwillingly to do to save the Euro. Economists generally agree that two … Continue reading

Posted in Bailout, Bonds, Debt, ECB, Economics, Euro Zone, European Central Bank, Germany, Ireland, Merkel, Quantitative Easing, Sarkozy | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

ECB’s Rate Cut And Liquidity Analgesic

The ECB’s latest rate cut and 36 month liquidity operations can ease interbank liquidity problems, but it acts more as a painkiller for a bullet wound and much deeper surgery is needed in the form of Euro Zone restructuring. Since … Continue reading

Posted in Austerity, Banking, ECB, Euro Zone, European banks, European Central Bank, France, Germany, Greece, Holland, Ireland, Italy, Merkel, Politics, Portugal, Spain | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Euribor Spreads Show Worrying Reminder of 2008

The spread between secured and unsecured lending in the interbank markets as measured by the spread between 3-month Euribor and 3-month Eoniaswaps has taken a dangerously similar path to before the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Figure 1: 3mth Euribor spreads … Continue reading

Posted in Bailout, Banking, ECB, Euro Zone, European banks, European Central Bank, Germany | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Euroskeptic Brits Face Tough Euro-Zone Choice

Europeans have never quite understood Britain’s reluctance to fully commit to closer ties but the reasons lie in a long history of independence. Britain is heading for an extremely tough choice which could affect the future prosperity of the country. … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Euro Zone, Fed, France, Germany, London, New York, US | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Charting Italy

I’ve put together a few charts of Italy to illustrate the problems facing the beleaguered country. 1) Italy’s bond yields remain high. Figure 1: Italy’s 5-year bond yield. Source: Bloomberg. Despite the exit of Berlusconi, the market remains far from … Continue reading

Posted in Austerity, ECB, Euro Zone, Germany, Italy | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment